Abstract
Immigrants can increase international trade by shifting preferences towards the goods of their country of origin and by reducing bilateral transaction costs. Using geographical variation across US states for the period 2008 to 2013, I estimate the respective causal impact of immigrants on US exports and imports. I address endogeneity and reverse causality by exploiting the exogenous allocation of political refugees within the US refugee resettlement program that prevents immigrants from choosing the destination location. I find that a 10% increase in recent immigrants to a US state raises imports from those immigrants' country of origin by 1.0% and exports by 0.8%. L'impact causal de l'immigration sur le commerce international des ÉtatsUnis : impact des réfugiés politiques. Les immigrants peuvent accroître les échanges internationaux en ce qu'ils accordent plus d'importance aux biens de leur pays d'origine et réduisent le coût des transactions bilatérales. Nous nous appuyons sur les variations géographiques entre les États américains de 2008 à 2013 pour estimer l'effet causal des immigrants sur les exportations et importations américaines. Nous contournons le probl'eme de l'endogénéité et de la causalité inversée en nous servant de la répartition exogène des réfugiés politiques établie par le programme américain de réinstallation des réfugiés. Dans ce programme, les réfugiés ne peuvent pas choisir leur destination d'accueil. Nous constatons qu'une augmentation de 10 % des nouveaux arrivants dans un État américain entraîne une hausse de 1.2 % des importations provenant de leur pays d'origine et un accroissement de 0.8 % des exportations vers ce pays.
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The Canadian Journal of Economics [CJE] is the journal of the Canadian Economics Association [CEA] and is published by Blackwell. The CJE has its roots in the journal Contributions to Canadian Economics, which began publication in the 1928 and was replaced in 1935 by the Canadian Journal of Economics and Political Science [CJEPS]. In 1968, CJEPS divided into two parts: The Canadian Journal of Economics and the Canadian Journal of Political Science. The CJE and its forerunners have a long tradition as a leading general interest journal in economics and have published many classic papers in economics including, for example, Paul Samuelson's classic 1939 paper on the gains from trade and early work by Robert Mundell related to optimum currency areas. The CJE seeks to maintain and enhance its position as the leading economics journal based in Canada and as a major internationally recognized journal. It is receptive to high quality papers in any field of economics and from any source. In addition its editors recognize a particular responsibility regarding high quality empirical papers related to the Canadian economy. JSTOR provides a digital archive of the print version of The Canadian Journal of Economics. The electronic version of The Canadian Journal of Economics is available at //www.interscience.wiley.com. Authorized users may be able to access the full text articles at this site.
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